IntroductionDeckers
Nike Free Run Powerlines Ii Azul Verde Hombres Más De 60% De Descuento Outdoor Corporation (NYSE:DECK) is
Nike Free Run Powerlines arco iris púrpura Hombres Para Auténtico Barato a global footwear provider of niche brand name shoes.
2012 Nike Free Run 2 Negro Púrpura Mujeres Bueno Guality Y Media Precio The
2012 Nike Free Run Mujeres Plata 3.0 Verde azul Más De 60% De Descuento company owns six brands, with the most business coming from UGG, Teva,
Nike Free Run Trainer 3.0 Negro Rojo Hombres Venta Zapatos Para Hombre and Sanuk. Other
Serwis samochodów Volvo – Gdańsk segments of the business include ‘Other Wholesale,’ which is the other three brands, ‘eCommerce’, and ‘Retail Stores.’ Based on proprietary discounted cash flow analysis done by the Oxen group, DECK shares are a solid
Nike Run Balanza gratuito 2014 Mujeres Gris Rosa Nosotros Outlet Store HOLD with a price target at $40.

The knock on DECK has been that their revenue
2012 Nike Free Run 3.0 Azul Plata Mujeres Se Venden Con El Precio Bajo makeup
Nike Free Run 4.0 Mujeres Negro Rosa Anti-pieles Ven y Únete a Nosotros is based too much in it UGG products,
2012 Nike Free Run 2 Rose verde Mujeres Cada Par De Zapatos Que Compra make
2014 Nike Free Run Gimnasio Hombres blancos Aquí Sería Su Mejor Opción up 88% of
2012 Nike Free Run 3.0 Blanco Gris mujeres rojas Tienda Outlet On Sale revenues. The company will need to
2012 Nike Free Run 3.0 Piel café Mujeres Para Baratos Pero Real Zapatos improve
2014 Nike Free Run Gimnasio Blanco Rojo Hombres Ven y ?nete a Nosotros their lineup diversification in order
Nike Free Run Trainer 3.0 Negro Hombres Es Una Buena Opción Para Usted to be more appealing in the future. From a quantitative prospective,
Nike Free Run 3.0 V7 ​​Gris oscuro mujeres rojas Para Auténtico Barato DECK shares trade at about 10.8x trailing EPS and more importantly 13.3x forward EPS, a discount to
2012 Nike Free Run 2 Blue Orange Mujeres Regalo Para Usted o Su Familia the market and its
2012 Nike Free Run Tr Fit Negro Azul Hombres Precio Barato Calidad Cozy peers. The key to DECK
Nike Free Run 3.0 V4 gris púrpura Mujeres Outlet Store Waiting For You is the success of diversifying its portfolio as well as the continued popularity/success of UGGs, which is developing into a diversified line
2012 Nike Free Run 2 2.0 Azul Naranja Mujeres Disfrute De Más Descuento itself. The introductions of new styles in
Nike Free Run 4.0 V3 anti-piel 2014 mujeres negras rojas Usted Encontrará Las Últimas Estilos the fall and spring seasons have improved the
Nike Free Run 2 2 brand and decreased
Nike Free Run 2 2 its seasonality, yet the firm still derives most of its EPS in Q4 (or the holiday quarter)
2012 Nike Free Run 2 Azul Negro Mujeres Envío Gratis Para Todo El Mundo and
Nike Free Run 3 2012 Negro Rosa Mujeres Con Alta Calidad y Bajo Precio from winter boots. The UGG
Nike Free Run Trainer 3.0 Negro Azul Hombres Venta Zapatos Para Hombre brand is very valuable, the brand’s position as a mid to upper price luxury staple is at the core of DECK’s future success.

ProfileDeckers Outdoor Corporation, founded in 1975, strives to be the premier lifestyle niche brand in the world. The company sells products including accessories, bags, outerwear, and footwear
2012 Nike Free Run 2 Mujeres Gris Rosa Con Precio Barato for casual and high performance use. The
Nike Free Run Trainer 3.0 Negro Hombres Para Barato Zapatos Para Hombre firm seeks to differentiate their products by offering, "diverse lines that emphasize authenticity, functionality, quality, and comfort and products tailored to a variety of activities, seasons,
2012 Nike Free Run 3 Naranja Gris Mujeres Venta Hombres Running Zapatos and demographic
Nike Free Run Trainer 3.0 Negro Azul Hombres Running Zapatos For Barato groups."
Nike Free Run Powerlines Ii Azul Oscuro Hombres Venta Zapatos Auténticos
2012 Nike Free Run 3.0 Blanco Gris mujeres rojas Outlet Worldwide The company’s main brand
2012 Nike Free Run Tr Fit Naranja Hombres Sale Con La Variedad De Estilos y Colores UGG Australia is a luxury/comfort brand
Nike Free Run Powerlines Rainbow amarillas Hombres Con Descuento Grande and a pioneer in
Nike Free Run Powerlines Ii Negro Oro Rojo Hombres Entrega Rápida y Buen Clientes Servicios Están Garantizados sheepskin footwear space.

ThesisValuation DECK trades with
Nike Free Run 3.0 V4 Gris Azul Mujeres Ahorra Hasta Un 50% De Descuento similar footwear companies in
2012 Nike Free Run Tr Fit Azul Hombres Amarillo Ven y Únete a Nosotros the consumer cyclical space. The average
Nike Free Run 3.0 V5 Ext Fuego Rojo Blanco Mujeres Para Hombres Baratos forward multiple in this
Nike Free Run 3.0 V4 Rosa Gris Mujeres Para Barato Zapatos Para Hombre sector is roughly 14.8x
Nike Free Run 2 2 and the median is about 13.9x. DECK’s 13.3x forward multiple trades below its
Nike Free Run 3.0 V5 Ext Bright Pink Mujeres Venta Zapatos Para Hombre industry average and median forward multiple.
Nike Free Run Powerlines Ii Marrón Verde Hombres Más De 60% De Descuento Due to the
Nike Free Run Trainer 3.0 Negro Azul Hombres Venta Con 70% De Descuento company’s strength in one
Nike Free Run Powerlines Ii Negro Oro Hombres Venta Zapatos Auténticos line
2014 Nike Free Run Gimnasio Blanco Azul Hombres Cada Compra Que Realice and lack of diversification worries investors about future growth. Additionally, the
Nike Free Run 4.0 2012 Azul Plata Mujeres Ahorre Tiempo y Dinero Ahora company has shown waning
2013 Nike Free Run Powerlines 2012 Gris Azul Hombres Con Calidad Superior popularity for
2012 Nike Free Run 2 Gris Rosa Mujeres Envío Gratis Para Todo El Mundo their UGG
Nike Free Run Powerlines Ii Marrón Verde Hombres Venta Zapatos Baratos shoes. UGGs made $1B in 2011. In 2012, that number will likely decline. Revenue from
2012 Nike Free Run 2 Azul Negro Mujeres Envío Libre Con Entrega Rápida UGGs dropped
2012 Nike Free Run 3.0 Azul Plata Mujeres Venta Hombres Running Zapatos 11% in Q3 2012
Nike Free Run 3.0 V2 verde plata Mujeres Envío Libre Con Entrega Rápida and 0.5% in
2014 Nike Free Run Gimnasio Negro Blanco Hombres Con Calidad Auténtico Q2 2012.
2012 Nike Free Run 3.0 V2 Negro Gris Moda Bueno Guality Y Media Precio The trend down is not positive and is the reason for a lot of the weakness in shares. The question now is,
Wmns Nike Free Run 3.0 V5 2014 Gris Naranja Mujeres Con El Envío Libre are shares cheap even if the
Nike Free Run Powerlines Rainbow amarillas Hombres Comprar Con Seguridad business is not as strong or
2014 Nike Free Run Gimnasio Negro Rojo Hombres Guardar Descuento Grande is more downside on the way.

One positive for the company
2012 Nike Free Run Tr Fit Azul Hombres Amarillo A La Venta Con El Envío y El Descuento Más Grande is that it executes at a better rate than competition. In net margins, DECK
2014 Nike Free Run Gimnasio Negro Rojo Hombres Entrega Rápida y Buen Clientes Servicios Están Garantizados outperforms its peers by a healthy ‘margin.’ The average and median net margins for DECK’s peer group are 7.5% and 7.4% respectively. DECK beats these metrics at 11.4%. Similar companies are Crocs (NASDAQ:CROX), Steve
2013 Nike Free Run Powerlines Ejército reverdecido Hombres Nueva Colección Está Disponible Madden (NASDAQ:SHOO), and Wolverine Worldwide (NYSE:WWW). The
Nike Free Run 3 Gris Verde 2012 Mujeres Nueva Colección Está Disponible three operate with net margins at 12.8%, 9.1%, and 7.7%, respectively.

Additionally, DECK’s operating margins are better than 84% of it peers at 15.7%. CROX, SHOO, and
Nike Free Run 3.0 V4 Naranja Gris Mujeres Para Baratos Pero Real Zapatos WWW operate at 14.6%, 13.9%, and 9.8%. Once again, DECK executes at top of the
2012 Nike Free Run 2 2.0 Azul Naranja Mujeres Venta Zapatos Para Hombre line and has solid pricing power.

DECK’s management also
Nike Free Run Powerlines Ii Azul Negro Hombres Para Barato Pero El Real outperforms the competition. The firm’s ROE is better than 83% of the footwear industry at 22%.
Nike Free Run OG 2014 las mujeres negras de piel Anti- Venta Worldwide Con Descuento Grande Y Entrega Libre Rápido What we can see, therefore, is
Nike Free Run 3.0 V4 Gris Azul Mujeres Cómodo y Envío Appropriate.Free that
Nike Free Run Powerlines Ii Verde Blanco Hombres Con Descuento 56% -78% DECK is undervalued not
Nike Free Run Powerlines Ii Naranja Hombres Versión Adecuado Para Usted due to solid execution.

The problem is two fold. The company is not well
Nike Free Run Trainer 3.0 Negro Azul Hombres Disfrute De Más Descuento diversified and top product is looking weaker, and
2012 Nike Free Run 3 Naranja Gris Mujeres Es Una Buena Opción Para Usted at the same time, the company’s diversification into TEVA and Sanuk further may weaken the company’s solid margins. With this dichotomy presented, shares are a
Nike Free Run 3.0 V4 amarillas azules Mujeres Guardar Descuento Grande Hold.

Catalyst

There are upside potential catalysts for DECK as well as downside catalysts.

The upside argument for
Nike Free Run Powerlines Ii Negro Hombres Luna Disfrute De Más Descuento DECK is that the company sees solid growth in
Nike Run Balanza gratuito 2014 Negro Rosa Mujeres Versión Adecuado Para Usted Sanuks, Tevas, and other brands. Further, the company has to be able
Nike Free Run 3 de plata Mujeres Orange Venta Con 70% De Descuento to
Nike Free Run 3.0 V2 Blanco Rosa Mujeres Buena Calidad y El Envío Rápido convince shoppers that they are more than a winter boot company that
Nike Free Run Powerlines Ii Azul Negro Hombres Liquidación Envío Rápido is popular with a small sect of the female population. Recent results in Teva and Sanuk are promising. Teva saw 22% increase in sales in Q3 of 2012 and Sanuk saw an increase at 18%. Both brands are still a tiny portion of the company’s sales. Therefore, for the next one to two years, the company will need to diversify its
Nike Free Run 3.0 V7 ​​púrpura Negro Mujeres Outlet Tienda Online 2014 UGG lineup. The
2012 Nike Free Run 2 Azul Negro Mujeres Ahorre Hasta Un 70% De Descuento jury is still out on this, and therefore, we are not sure if
Nike Free Run 4.0 V3 anti-piel 2014 mujeres negras rojas Venta Hombres they have an
Nike Free Run Powerlines Ii Azul Verde Hombres Disfrute De Más Descuento upside catalyst. Our take is that UGGs have lost some fashion appeal but some of that lost appeal has been made up for with new buyers from males and other products outside of winter
2014 Nike Free Run Gimnasio Blanco Rojo Hombres En Venta En Su Selección boots.

Economic Moat DECK’s business basically revolves around UGG. The
Nike Free Run Powerlines Ii Verde Negro Hombres Venta Zapatos Auténticos UGG brand name, and the quality that
Nike Free Run 2014 Gris Púrpura Mujeres Para Barato Zapatos Para Hombre backs it
2013 Nike Free Run Líneas Marrón Hombres Para Baratos Pero Real Zapatos up is DECK’s only economic moat. UGG wholesale makes up 75% of all sales, while ecommerce and retail stores make up the remaining 13% of total UGG sales. 64% of revenues are derived from the USA as well. The company operates in a very fickle market
Nike Free Run Powerlines Ii Negro Oro Rojo Hombres Comprar Con Seguridad of fashion, which
Nike Free Run Powerlines Ii Gris Hombres Regalo Para Usted o Su Familia worries us and gives little
Nike Free Run Líneas del arco iris azul de los hombres Outlet En Venta economic moat. Diversification in markets and products further shows a lack of moat. As an investor, these are serious questions to have.

DECK’s brand loyalty is small
2012 Nike Free Run 2.0 Gris Azul Blanco Mujeres Más De 60% De Descuento due to its short term success.

One issue to its moat is counterfeiting shoes. In 2009, US Customs seized over 60,000 fake shoes, shut down thousands of fake shoe
Nike Free Run Powerlines Ii Azul Rojo Hombres Venta Con 70% De Descuento peddling websites, and took down tens
2012 Nike Free Run 2 Mujeres Gris Rosa Ahorre Hasta Un 70% De Descuento of thousands of
Nike Free Run Powerlines Rainbow Negro Hombres En Venta En Su Selección fraudulent eBay posts. These customers may not actually translate into sale, but it is important that DECK keeps its brand synonymous with quality and luxury and stays vigilant against criminals.

Revenue
Nike Free Run 3.0 2012 Gris Rosa Mujeres Con El 100% De Garantía De Calidad y Envío Libre and
2014 Nike Free Run Gimnasio Blanco Azul Hombres Ven y Únete a Nosotros EPS Outlook
Nike Free Run Powerlines Ii Men Negro Verde Aquí Sería Su Mejor Opción Revenue trends may be a catalyst that could push shares down to our price target. DECK’s Q3 year/year revenue was down
2012 Nike Free Run Tr Fit Negro Azul Hombres Varios Hermosos Zapatos Con Precios Baratos Calidad Acogedor over 10%, but to balance that out,
2012 Nike Free Run 3 Gris Púrpura Mujeres Siempre Se Puede Encontrar Fuera Su Favorita Q1 and Q2 year/year revenue growth was up 13% and 20.5%. The issue for DECK is that the company is in no way a fundamental
Nike Free Run Powerlines Ii Verde Negro Hombres Para Barato Pero El Real staple. It’s
Nike Free Run Powerlines Ii Verde Negro Hombres Cada Compra Que Realice a growth stock that needs growth to stay relevant and show upside.

The eCommerce
Nike Free Run OG 2014 Anti-piel azul claro Mujeres Precio Al Por Menor section of
Nike Free Run 2 2012 Luz azul púrpura Mujeres Outlet Tienda Online 2014 the business has positively affected revenue. In Q3, eCommerce increased 29.3% in sales and retail sales increased
2014 Nike Free Run Gimnasio Negro Rojo Hombres Tenemos Buena Reputación 12.8%. The company is expected, by The
Nike Free Run Trainer 3.0 Negro Hombres Amarillo Venta Zapatos Baratos Street,
Nike Run Balanza gratuito 2014 Gris Rosa Mujeres A Precio Más Bajo 55% De Descuento to double the number of retail locations and add more outlet locations. DECK provides good reason for these efforts in
Nike Free Run Trainer 3.0 Negro Hombres Amarillo Para Auténtico Barato SEC filings.

"Through
Nike Run Balanza gratuito 2014 Mujeres Gris Naranja Con Calidad Superior our outlet stores, we sell some of our discontinued styles from prior seasons, plus products made specifically for the outlet stores. We sell Teva products as well as some of our
Nike Free Run 4.0 Mujeres Blue Sky Venta Zapatos Auténticos
2012 Nike Free Run 3.0 Piel Negro Púrpura Mujeres Con Calidad Auténtico other brands through our UGG Australia outlet stores."

The ecommerce section of sales is doing great.
Nike Free Run 3.0 V5 Ext Todos Orange Mujeres Disfrute De Más Descuento Across DECK’s various brands, the eCommerce section of sales grew 12.6% on average and for the UGG section grew 15% in the last quarter.

And on a final note, it is
Nike Free Run 3.0 V4 Rosa Gris Mujeres Envío Gratis Para Todo El Mundo interesting to point out that
2012 Nike Free Run 3 Pinke plata Mujeres Es Una Buena Opción Para Usted investment bank Credit Suisse is expecting sheepskin costs to come down 11% and help gross margins,
2012 Nike Free Run 3.0 Gris Rosa Mujeres Venta Hogar Es Su Mejor Opción when in prior years it was indeed a drag on EPS.

Revenue growth could bounce back in 2013, but
Nike Free Run 3.0 V2 2012 Mujeres Blanco Gris Venta Zapatos Para Hombre we do not expect a big comeback until 2014. 2013 could
Nike Free Run OG 2014 Anti-piel azul claro Mujeres Con Descuento Grande be a flat year before a strong
Nike Free Run 2 azules amarillas Mujeres Venta Hogar Es Su Mejor Opción comeback in 2014.

Price
Nike Free Run 3.0 grises azules claros Mujeres Tenemos Buena Reputación Target AnalysisThe following price target was
Nike Free Run 3.0 V7 ​​Rosa Blanco Mujeres Se Venden Con El Precio Bajo configured through a 5 year projected discounted cash flow analysis. The model projects operating income, taxes, depreciation, capital expenditures, and changes in working capital. Using
Nike Free Run Powerlines Ii Naranja Hombres Running Zapatos For Barato that information, we can
2014 Nike Free Run Gimnasio Negro Rojo Hombres Para Barato Pero El Real Zapatos Para Hombre project what the company is worth.
2012 Nike Free Run 3.0 Piel de café amarillas Mujeres 70% De Descuento We can then use that projection and compare it to current prices. Calculate cash flow available by taking operating income taxes + depreciation capital expenditures working capital.

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